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trueFuture Hype2006-10-18T20:37:00-07:002006-10-19T04:18:37Z2006-10-19T03:38:41Ztag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32431107.post-116122912184409365Texas highways have new speed limitAbout 500 miles of west Texas highway have a new speed limit -- 80 miles per hour, the highest in the country. Some observers are concerned about reduced safety, and some are concerned about reduced mileage.
I see something else. I see an example of a technology that didn’t increase exponentially.
With all the excitement about Moore’s Law and the exponential rise of computing power, we arefalseFuture Hype2006-10-17T19:33:00-07:002006-10-19T03:59:11Z2006-10-19T03:36:38Ztag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32431107.post-116122899885601439American population reaches 300,000,000Did you feel it? The great American population odometer rolled over to 300,000,000 on October 17. (It was at 7:46am EDT, if you’re keeping track.)
Three hundred million is a big milestone for us, but China estimates that its one-child policy has reduced its population by roughly the same amount. In other words, in 25 years, China has not produced as many people as the US only now has.
ThisfalseFuture Hype2006-10-15T17:18:00-07:002006-10-19T03:33:19Z2006-10-19T03:15:09Ztag:blogger.com,1999:blog-32431107.post-116122770925472701Amazon sells ebook readers for less than $200Amazon sells ebook readers for less than $200. More than 50,000 titles are available at online retailers. Are ebooks finally here?
Let’s pause to remember some of the missteps in this field. In 1999, Microsoft predicted the end of printed books, magazines, and newspapers within 20 years. According to their timeline, by now we should have seen one billion electronic ebook titles and by 2008 wefalse